The odds are that we get through 2018 without war, mass capital flight, or a housing crash. But all the risks are medium probability, warns Richard Holden, and the consequences could be dire.
Australia continues to see mixed signals across different aspects of the economic spectrum, writes Richard Holden.
Richard Holden considers how Australia should navigate the current turbulent political and economic climate.
The US economy looks to be improving but Richard Holden warns that Australia is on shaky ground with low interest rates, high household debt and the Aussie dollar on the rise again.
The RBA keeps interest rates on hold and China delivers good news, but there are still pockets of concern in global economies, writes Richard Holden.
The RBA leaves rates on hold, Australia gets a GDP growth spurt from pre-election spending, and the IMF lays the groundwork for a lowering of global growth expectations, writes Richard Holden.
Australia's "deflation" shock makes for higher expectations of a budget day rate cut, writes Richard Holden.
Long election campaigns give candidates more opportunities to come unstuck, writes Richard Holden.
No matter how one cuts the data, there's no evidence that conservatives are better managers of the economy, writes James Morley.
This week the rising Aussie dollar gives the RBA cause for concern, credit-fuelled spending slows, and US unemployment ticks up amid growing US confidence, writes Richard Holden.